Tottenham's 'shock downgrade probability' came out after Son Heung-min left, and the 'second part crash' approaching reality

*This content was translated by AI.

Tottenham, where Son Heung-min (34, LAFC) left, has a dark cloud over the second-tier relegation. Tottenham's relegation probability, once considered a small possibility, has already risen to the highest level among the relegation competitors. This means that Tottenham is most likely to fill the remaining relegation spots besides the two lowest teams whose relegation has been virtually confirmed.

Tottenham, which appointed Roberto Dezerbi (Italy) as its third head coach this season, lost 0-1 to Sunderland in the 32nd round of the 2025-2026 English Premier League (EPL) at Stadium of Light in Sunderland, England, on the 12th (Korea time).

With the defeat, Tottenham fell into a swamp of 14 consecutive games (5 draws and 9 losses), including two consecutive EPL losses. Tottenham's last win in the EPL must go back to the match against Crystal Palace at the end of December last year. The number of points was 30 (7 wins, 9 draws and 16 losses), and the ranking was ranked 18th, which was in the relegation zone. The gap is two points with West Ham United (32 points) in 17th place, which is the remaining Maginot line. In the EPL, the three teams ranked 18th and 20th will be demoted.

While West Ham, which were competing for the relegation zone together, recently reversed the mood by defeating Wolverhampton, Tottenham's winless streak increased to 14 games, changing the relegation zone. Football statistics media Opta updated the relegation probability of EPL relegation teams immediately after Tottenham's defeat, and Tottenham's relegation probability soared to 44.9%. The figure is the highest except for two teams, Wolverhampton (99.99%) and Burnley (100%), which have been virtually demoted.

Even before the A-match break, Tottenham's relegation probability was 27.47%, which was significantly lower than West Ham, which was 56.94% at the time. However, things changed rapidly with West Ham's victory and Tottenham's defeat on the day. While Tottenham's chances of relegation have soared, West Ham have decreased by nearly 20%p. After Tottenham and West Ham, the relegation probability is predicted in the order of Nottingham Forest (10.29%) and Leeds United (7.47%).

If Tottenham is relegated to the Championship without rebounding in the rest of the season, it will be the first time since the launch of the EPL in 1992 and 49 years since the 1977-1978 season in the club's history. Tottenham's remaining six EPL games are in the order of Brighton and Hove Albion, Wolverhampton, Aston Villa, Leeds United, Chelsea and Everton. "It's a shame because it wasn't a game to lose," Dezerbi said. The players did their best in terms of attitude and determination, he said. "If I can win one game, everything will be different."

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*This content was translated by AI.