'EPL title race is over': Arsenal's chances surge to 85.64% after 1-0 victory over Burnley, extending lead over second-place Manchester City to five points

*This content was translated by AI.

No turnaround occurred. League-leading Arsenal defeated Burnley to secure a fourth consecutive victory. The Gunners can now clinch the EPL title outright with a win in their final match, or they can secure the championship regardless of their final game's outcome depending on the result of Manchester City's Round 37 match. Their probability of winning the title has now exceeded 85%.

Under the guidance of Spanish manager Mikel Arteta, Arsenal defeated Burnley 1-0 in their Round 37 home match at the Emirates Stadium in London, UK, on the 19th (Korean time). Kai Havertz broke the deadlock with a first-half goal in the 37th minute, and the team held off just two opposing shots in the second half to secure the precious three points.

With this victory, Arsenal accumulated 82 points (25 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses), extending their lead over second-place Manchester City, which has played one fewer match and holds 77 points, to five points. Manchester City's Round 37 match is against Bournemouth on the 20th. If Manchester City fails to win this match, the EPL title race for this season will conclude with Arsenal as champions, regardless of the final match results.

Even if Manchester City wins against Bournemouth and narrows the points gap to two, Arsenal can still clinch the EPL title outright with a victory in their away match against Crystal Palace on the 24th at midnight. The only scenario in which Arsenal fails to win the EPL title is if they lose to Crystal Palace while Manchester City wins both of their consecutive matches against Bournemouth and Aston Villa.

Football statistics outlet Optima immediately raised Arsenal's probability of winning the EPL title to 85.64% following their victory over Burnley. Although Arsenal had fallen to second place behind Manchester City after back-to-back losses in Rounds 33 and 34, they have since won four consecutive matches, pushing their EPL title probability above 85% with only the final match remaining. If Arsenal reaches the summit of the EPL, it will be the first time in 22 years since the 2003-2004 season.

British media outlet The Guardian reported, "Arsenal is just one step away from winning the EPL title. If Manchester City fails to win their away match against Bournemouth, the title race will be over. If Manchester City wins, the EPL champion will be decided in the final round." Sky Sports also highlighted, "Arsenal has only one match left to secure the EPL title. They have now reached the threshold of winning the EPL."

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*This content was translated by AI.