* Translated by Papago

The odds of reaching the round of 32 at the Korea World Cup are 69.4%, which is lower than the Czech Republic, which ranks 41st in FIFA rankings

Published:

Kim Myeongseok

*This content was translated by AI.

Hong Myung-bo, head coach of the national soccer team. /Photo = Senior Reporter Kang Young-jo
Hong Myung-bo, head coach of the national soccer team. /Photo = Senior Reporter Kang Young-jo

It is predicted that the South Korean national soccer team is less than 70% likely to pass the 2026 FIFA 2026 FIFA North and Central America World Cup group stage. It is the third in Group A after Mexico and the Czech Republic.

According to the 2026 FIFA North and Central America World Cup group stage passing probability predicted by Football Benchmark based on European betting company data on the 9th (Korea Standard Time), Korea was the third in Group A with 69.4%.

In Group A, host Mexico was the highest with 90.1%, and the Czech Republic, which joined Group A after the UEFA playoffs, was second with 80%. South Africa was at the bottom of the list with 45.5 percent.

As of April, South Korea ranked 25th, the second highest after Mexico (15th), and the Czech Republic 41st, but South Korea's chances of passing the group stage were lower than those of the Czech Republic.

South Korea also tied for 33rd overall with only 0.2% of the chance of winning the World Cup. In Group A, host Mexico was the highest at 1.2%, followed by the Czech Republic (0.3%), South Korea and South Africa (0.1%).

Probability of passing the 2026 FIFA 2026 FIFA North and Central America World Cup group stage. Korea ranked third in Group A with 69.4 percent, following Mexico and the Czech Republic. /Photo = Capture Football Benchmark homepage
Probability of passing the 2026 FIFA 2026 FIFA North and Central America World Cup group stage. Korea ranked third in Group A with 69.4 percent, following Mexico and the Czech Republic. /Photo = Capture Football Benchmark homepage

Mexico's World Cup championship probability, which was predicted to pass Group A in the group stage, was tied for 16th, lower than Japan (1.5%), which can also be interpreted as the power of teams in Group A being relatively behind other groups. Nevertheless, the fact that Korea's chances of passing the group stage are 69.4%, the third in Group A, also means that the Korean national team's history is not being evaluated as high.

This is interpreted as a result of reflecting the recent A-match performance rather than objective power from the players' side. South Korea is preparing for the World Cup after losing 0-4 to Ivory Coast last month and losing 0-1 to Austria.

Meanwhile, the Asian team with the highest probability of passing the group stage was Japan with 78.1%. Japan was the second highest in Group F after the Netherlands (93.4 percent). Only Japan ranked second in the group among Asian teams, followed by Iran in Group G (66.7 percent), Saudi Arabia in Group H (55.6 percent), and South Korea in the third group.

On the other hand, Qatar in Group B (40%), Australia in Group D (52.6%), Iraq in Group I (25%), Jordan in Group J (29.4%), and Uzbekistan in Group K (36.4%) were all at the bottom of the group.

Hong Myung-bo, head coach of the national soccer team. /Photo = Courtesy of the Korea Football Association
Hong Myung-bo, head coach of the national soccer team. /Photo = Courtesy of the Korea Football Association

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*This content was translated by AI.

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